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Autism Tsunami: the Impact of Rising Prevalence on the Societal Cost of Autism in the United States / Mark BLAXILL in Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders, 52-6 (June 2022)
[article]
Titre : Autism Tsunami: the Impact of Rising Prevalence on the Societal Cost of Autism in the United States Type de document : Texte imprimé et/ou numérique Auteurs : Mark BLAXILL, Auteur ; Toby ROGERS, Auteur ; Cynthia NEVISON, Auteur Article en page(s) : p.2627-2643 Langues : Anglais (eng) Mots-clés : ASD prevalence Autism spectrum disorder Cost Future cost projections Time trends Index. décimale : PER Périodiques Résumé : The cost of ASD in the U.S. is estimated using a forecast model that for the first time accounts for the true historical increase in ASD. Model inputs include ASD prevalence, census population projections, six cost categories, ten age brackets, inflation projections, and three future prevalence scenarios. Future ASD costs increase dramatically: total base-case costs of $223 (175-271) billion/year are estimated in 2020; $589 billion/year in 2030, $1.36 trillion/year in 2040, and $5.54 (4.29-6.78) trillion/year by 2060, with substantial potential savings through ASD prevention. Rising prevalence, the shift from child to adult-dominated costs, the transfer of costs from parents onto government, and the soaring total costs raise pressing policy questions and demand an urgent focus on prevention strategies. En ligne : http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10803-021-05120-7 Permalink : https://www.cra-rhone-alpes.org/cid/opac_css/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=474
in Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders > 52-6 (June 2022) . - p.2627-2643[article] Autism Tsunami: the Impact of Rising Prevalence on the Societal Cost of Autism in the United States [Texte imprimé et/ou numérique] / Mark BLAXILL, Auteur ; Toby ROGERS, Auteur ; Cynthia NEVISON, Auteur . - p.2627-2643.
Langues : Anglais (eng)
in Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders > 52-6 (June 2022) . - p.2627-2643
Mots-clés : ASD prevalence Autism spectrum disorder Cost Future cost projections Time trends Index. décimale : PER Périodiques Résumé : The cost of ASD in the U.S. is estimated using a forecast model that for the first time accounts for the true historical increase in ASD. Model inputs include ASD prevalence, census population projections, six cost categories, ten age brackets, inflation projections, and three future prevalence scenarios. Future ASD costs increase dramatically: total base-case costs of $223 (175-271) billion/year are estimated in 2020; $589 billion/year in 2030, $1.36 trillion/year in 2040, and $5.54 (4.29-6.78) trillion/year by 2060, with substantial potential savings through ASD prevention. Rising prevalence, the shift from child to adult-dominated costs, the transfer of costs from parents onto government, and the soaring total costs raise pressing policy questions and demand an urgent focus on prevention strategies. En ligne : http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10803-021-05120-7 Permalink : https://www.cra-rhone-alpes.org/cid/opac_css/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=474